THE MISSING LINK BETWEEN INFLATION UNCERTAINTY AND INTEREST RATES

The Relation Between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty In Iran

Monetary Policy, Nominal Interest Rates, and Long-horizon Inflation Uncertainty

Empirical evidence presented in this paper shows that the predictability of inflation at long horizons varies considerably across countries. Both simple theory and empirical evidence suggest that the crucial factor is the extent to which systematic monetary policy succeeds in stabilising the incipient unit root in inflation. The mechanism by which it does this appears however to be complicated ...

Keynes, Uncertainty and Interest Rates

Uncertainty plays an important role in The General Theory, particularly in the theory of interest rates. Keynes did not provide a theory of uncertainty, but he did make some enlightening remarks about the direction he thought such a theory should take. I argue that some modern innovations in the theory of probability allow us to build a theory which captures these Keynesian insights. If this is...

Interest Rates, ECB Communication and Inflation Expectations

Guiding and anchoring inflation expectations of the public are key tasks of modern central banks. In this paper we investigate how the European Central Bank (ECB) influences inflation expectations of professional forecasters. We argue that it is a good sign that interest rate changes as such are not significant in explaining inflation expectations: The ECB has been able to prepare professional ...

the relation between inflation and inflation uncertainty in iran